Wednesday, December 5, 2018

Tonight - Clouds increasing over night. Low: 29-33.

 Thursday - Chance of snow in the morning, remains cloudy.
  High: 32-36.

Thursday night - Partly cloudy. Low: 16-20.


Friday- Partly sunny. High: 33-36.

Saturday-   Cloudy. High: 28-32.

Thanks to for the icons!

Discussion: Sunshine was short lived as clouds move back into the area this evening.  A cold front moves into the area around 2am Thursday morning. The passage of the cold front will bring a chance of snow tonight lasting through tomorrow morning and ending around noon with around a half an inch of accumulation expected.  Clouds will stick around tomorrow with some clearing out as a high pressure enters our area Thursday night and into Friday leading to some peaks of sun during the day Friday.  The high will linger long enough to keep  chances of precipitation off to our south for Saturday.

Forecasters: Azzara, Munley, Sumrall, Hirsch and Market
Issued: 3:58 p.m., December 5, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 

We saw some sunshine today and that allowed us to warm up enough to melt off any residual snow from yesterday. We have not seen any type of precipitation today and that will hold off since we have a large dry layer between 700-850 mb. Once we overcome that we can quickly expect some snow in the overnight hours as a cold front approaches. That will be due to a good amount of lift and a short wave that will make its way towards the forecasting area. Snow chances continue during the day tomorrow but should clear out after lunchtime since our moisture will dry out, the front will have passed and the lift will not be able to support precipitation. Once the snow exits the region we will remain dry and cloudy. We can expect to see around a half an inch of accumulation. The rest of the work week will be very similar to each other as we will be under a high pressure zone. Clouds will be present and high temperatures will stick around the freezing mark so the snow that we get from the Thursday system will likely stick around until the weekend. Addressing the possible winter storm over the weekend, the GFS still has the track on the low pressure system to our south in northern Arkansas. Further monitoring of the system will be necessary as the slightest change in the path of the low could substantially impact the weather in mid-Missouri.

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