Thursday, January 31, 2019





 

Tonight - Mostly cloudy.  Low: 22-26.



Friday - Mostly sunny.  High: 42-46.



Friday Night - Partly cloudy with chance for early morning fog. Low: 30-34.



Saturday -  Mostly cloudy with chance for scattered showers. High: 54-58.



 Sunday - Partly cloudy. High: 58-62.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
After a frigid past couple of days, things are finally looking to warm up.  Tonight we expect to see cloud cover sticks around into the early morning hours before clearing out leading us into a sunny first day of February.  Temps will start to climb into the 40s as we have a warm front stall out over mid Missouri.  Our winds will stay at a southerly flow which will help to bring in that warmer air.  Cloud cover Friday night will help our temps stay in the mid 30s.  We do have a chance for fog early Saturday morning as a result of moisture in the atmosphere from the melting snow.  Saturday also brings that chance for scattered showers for those north of I-70. The sun will make an appearance Sunday as we see temperatures climb into the upper 50s.  Overall it's looking to be a pleasant weekend.


==================
Forecasters: Bongard, Doll and Myers
Issued: 4:58 p.m., January 31, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 

Tonight there will be warm advection bringing warmer temperatures from the southwest. The polar jet stream will sit directly to our north while the sub-tropical jet stream sits to our south keeping us directly in the middle of two distinct temperature trends. This warm frontal boundary will remain stationary through Friday morning until a shortwave flow really brings the warmer temps through Missouri. Friday the low pressure system keeps our winds at a southerly flow raising the temps into Friday night. Slight cloud cover Friday night will keep temperatures warmer than previously expected especially with low level moisture sticking around throughout the majority of the night. This low level moisture will bring chances of patchy fog early Saturday morning.

Saturday brings the possibilities of showers depending on which model you decide to look at for this day. NAM shows a chance for scattered showers over mid Missouri while GFS keeps us pretty dry throughout the day with scattered showers to our northwest and south. The showers will be influenced in by the low pressure system carried by the southerly sub-tropical jet stream. Saturday night both models show a really dry layer at the 700-mb level keeping the chances for possible precipitation development into Sunday low. Sunday will keep the same trends of south westerly winds bringing warmest temps we've seen in a while.

Wednesday, January 30, 2019





 

Tonight - Light flurries early, becoming mostly cloudy.  Low: 4-8.



Thursday - Mostly cloudy.  High: 28-32.



Thursday Night - Mostly cloudy. Low: 26-30



Friday -  Mostly cloudy. High: 40-44.



Saturday -  Mostly cloudy. High: 54-58.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
After a frigid day in mid-Missouri a warming trend is in sight. Before we warm up, we have a shot at light accumulating snow tonight. Accumulation will be light with about half an inch expected, just enough to coat the ground. Snow will end between 8-10 pm. We remain bitterly cold throughout the day Wednesday but begin the process of warming up Thursday, with temperatures continuing to climb through the weekend. We will finally be above freezing again Thursday night into Friday morning. There is plenty of moisture in the atmosphere that will linger through the weekend providing the cloud cover that persists through our forecast period. There is a slight chance for some form precipitation late Thursday night but little to no accumulation is expected.

==================
Forecasters: Bongard and Sumrall
Issued: 2:37 p.m., January 30, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 

For the rest of today the frigid temperatures will continue as the arctic air mass that has seeped into the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS continues to keep temperatures dangerously cold. Overnight lows will maintain a single digit status though not quite as cold as the previous nights lows thanks to the air mass heading a bit further east. Skew-Ts show moisture from 850 till 500 mb with omega maximized over this depth. This will allow for light snow fall early on with drying occurring around 09 Z.  Thursday will begin a much needed warming trend as both NAM and GFS model charts depict the broad upper level ridge over the western CONUS propagating into the central Plains pushing the arctic air mass and the trough responsible for its inclusion into the Lower 48 further east. While upper air flow will maintain a northwesterly flow in the upstream portion of the ridge, low level winds will swing around to the south. This is in response to a cut off low that forms over the Four Corners region that will trek into the north Texas by the end of the day Thursday. The eastern flank of this system will help to swing those winds to a southerly course and provide enough warm air advection to get the region above freezing by Friday morning. Highs Friday afternoon should reach into the low 40's with even warmer highs Saturday afternoon as winters cold air gets trapped north of the ridging flow to the regions north.

A shortwave traversing the flow to our north will interact with some moisture advection from the oncoming low pressure system that NAM predicts will create some precipitation development Thursday evening and night. Some of this precipitation may be in the form of freezing rain as temperatures will not be warm enough to be only liquid form. SREF plumes are promoting a greater than 50% chance of snow with around 0.5 inches of accumulation between 00Z and 06Z Friday. GFS on the contrary is promoting only extremely low level moisture and therefore only clouds. Model disagreement this late into the forecasting process makes giving real credence to precipitation chances difficult though a passing shower or even light icing is not out of the question. As the low pressure system passes to the south of the region Saturday morning and afternoon shower activity over the region can be expected though the bulk of the precipitation shield associated with this frontal system will be to the southeast of Missouri. This will be the extent of precipitation chances for the forecast period. 

Tuesday, January 29, 2019






 

Tonight - Becoming partly cloudy. Gusty winds. Low: (-8) - (-4).



Wednesday - Becoming mostly cloudy. Windy. High: 4-8.



Wednesday Night - Mostly cloudy. Low: 1-4



Thursday -  Mostly cloudy. High's near 30.



Friday -  Partly sunny. Highs in the low 40's.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
We are having a cold day here in mid-Missouri as we continue to be under wind chill warnings/advisories. Overcast skies have dominated and flurries have been present throughout the day. We have been on a steady decline in temperatures since around noon today with our high peaking in the mid 20’s. As we go into tonight the skies will start to clear up and allow for some radiational cooling, meaning we will not have a cloud layer that can act as a “blanket” and help retain the heat at the surface. This combined with some strong sustained winds will permit us to drop to sub-zero temperatures overnight with wind chills well in to the -20’s. We will not get much of a chance to warm up during the day tomorrow with real feel temperatures remaining negative even during tomorrow’s high temperature, causing the wind chill warnings/advisories to be extended until 3pm Wednesday. Clouds will stick around into Wednesday night, allowing some heat to be trapped and aid the warming trend that will start Thursday bringing high’s almost up to freezing and then into the 40’s Friday and even into the 50’s over the weekend where you might actually get the chance to put the winter coat away for a few days. 

==================
Forecasters: Azzara, Munley, Brown, and Hirsch
Issued: 4:30 p.m., January 28, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
Sanborn Field hit a high temperature of 27 today with help from some sunshine we had for most of the morning. This helped reach that high until clouds rolled in around noon with a cold frontal passage, bringing in more cold air advection and substantial northwest winds. Through tonight, winds will continue to be blustery with the LLJ picking up at 850mb with winds out of the NW at 20-25kts that is mixing down to the surface. The primary concern with this forecast peroid is the dangerously cold temperatures that will settle in tonight through Wednesday night as the arctic air mass continues to move south.  The NWS has issued a Wind Chill Warning from 6pm tonight until 3pm Wednesday.  Wind Chill values could reach as low as 25 degrees below zero.   

GFS soundings keep us cloudy through most of the night but has the column drying out a bit. This suggests some clearing early tomorrow moring but does not last long.  Soundings also suggest a chance of flurries tomorrow afternoon with the column moistening up and a good amount of omega forcing in the DGZ between 18z and 00z Thursday.

Clouds stick around Wednesday night as mid-levels stay moist but lower levels appear to remain pretty dry.  Thursday and Friday begins the warm up trend as the arctic air mass begins to push off to the east with the parent high. Ridging begins to approach us from the west toward the end of the week. Winds begin to veer, aiding warm air advection and more tolerable conditions around mid-mo. 
 

Monday, January 28, 2019







  

Tonight - Partial clearing in the evening. Windy. Low: 10-14.



Tuesday - Becoming cloudy in the morning. Windy. High: 20-24.



Tuesday Night - Becoming partly cloudy. Winds dying down overnight. Low: (-8) - (-4).



Wednesday - Becoming cloudy. High: 4-8.



Thursday -  Cloudy. High: 28-32.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
As expected, temperatures have fallen considerably since this morning. Unfortunately for Columbia, this trend will continue through Wednesday afternoon. Dangerously cold, arctic temperatures have begun to invade the area from Canada. Tuesday will see another cold and cloudy day with highs in the mid 20s. Tuesday night into Wednesday temperatures will bottom out at near record lows in the negative single digits. The NWS in St. Louis has put Boone County under a Wind Chill Warning that will go into effect beginning 6pm Tuesday evening and extend until 2pm Wednesday afternoon. High winds will make these bitter temperatures feel even worse as wind chills are expected to hit the negative teens and twenties. Make sure you bundle up if you have to be outside; in this kind of bitter cold, frostbite can affect exposed skin in under 15 minutes. Thursday will see a slight warmup with temperatures climbing back up to near freezing.

==================
Forecasters: Danaher, Travis, Brown, and Hirsch
Issued: 4:30 p.m., January 28, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
Sanborn Field has already hit today's high temperature at an anomalous 4:14 a.m. Columbia has already seen evidence of FROPA with winds shifting from WSW to WNW as well as a big increase in wind speeds since sunrise. The models chosen were a blend of the GFS and European with above average confidence. According to the WPC, the NAM showed a slight shift of the shortwave north when compared to the other model solutions. The cold front will continue to sink south throughout the evening. As we enter the exit region of the jet, a saturated layer will persist below 700 hPa and clouds will remain throughout the day. On Tuesday afternoon, GFS soundings show a brief period of increased moisture and lift below 700 hPa, but a dew point depression of 5 degrees at the sfc. This will lead to the potential for a brief period of flurries, but no impacts are expected. Continuing onward, extremely dry air will set up over the Midwest entering Tuesday night.

GFS soundings do hint at the possibility for partial clearing overnight Tuesday with winds at the sfc still blowing at 20-25 kts. The potential for partial clearing could result in greater radiational cooling and therefore Wednesday morning temperatures could be lower than models are anticipating.

Winds will continue to blow with substantial force and will continue to shift from the WNW to the NW as the sfc low centered over the Missouri-Iowa-Illinois border will propagate off to the northwest. The LLJ will pick up as well as 850 hPa winds also show a shift to the NW as the much talked about arctic air mass descends down from Canada. Mid-Missouri will experience strong CAA through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Temperatures are expected to bottom out at near record lows in the negative single digits. The strong winds associated with the descending vortex will are expected to make wind chills feel closer to -15 to -20 Tuesday night. Next, it appears that temperatures will slightly warm up as winds begin to veer to the WSW by Thursday morning. Thursday's temperatures increase back up to the 30s as we end this forecast period.

 





  
Monday - Cloudy and windy with temperatures falling throughout the day. Afternoon High: 20-24.


 
Monday Night - Partial clearing in the evening. Windy. Low: 10-14.


Tuesday - Becoming cloudy with flurries possible in the afternoon. Windy. High: 20-24.


 
Tuesday Night - Becoming partly cloudy. Winds dying down overnight. Low: (-8) - (-4).


Wednesday - Becoming cloudy. High: 4-8. 
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
After somewhat of a reprieve from the arctic air this weekend, a return to brutally cold air is in store for the first half of this week. Precipitation associated with a passing cold front has ended, leaving clouds and gusty winds in its wake. Temperatures will fall sharply throughout the day today, bottoming out in the upper teens/low 20s by dusk. Clouds will stick around throughout the rest of the period, with some periods of partial clearing possible early Tuesday morning, then again late Tuesday night. Winds will also stay strong through Tuesday night. Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will bring dangerous cold, so make sure to bundle up as you head to class or work!

==================
Forecasters: Ritter, Travis, and Hirsch
Issued: 10:00 a.m., January 28, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
Sanborn Field has already hit today's high temperature at an anomalous 4:14 a.m. Columbia has already seen evidence of FROPA with winds shifting from WSW to WNW as well as a big increase in wind speeds since sunrise. Went primarily with GFS as per WPC's general model blend with above average confidence. As the cold front sinks down to the south remnant moisture will exit the region with it, however a saturated layer persists below 700 hPa and clouds will remain throughout the day. Tuesday afternoon GFS Skew-Ts show a brief period of increased moisture and lift below 700 hPa, but a dew point depression of 5 degrees at the sfc. If precipitation makes it to the ground, it will most likely show itself in the form of brief flurries. Fortunately for Columbia, with the descending arctic air mass, extremely dry air will set up over the Midwest, so winter precipitation is not anticipated past Tuesday afternoon.

GFS soundings do hint at the possibility for partial clearing over night Tuesday night with winds at the sfc still blowing at 20-25 kts. The potential for partial clearing could result in greater radiational cooling and therefore Wednesday morning temperatures could be lower than models are anticipating.

LSX has placed Boone County under a wind advisory. Winds will continue to blow with substantial force and will continue to shift from the WNW to the NW as the sfc low centered over the Missouri-Iowa-Illinois border will propagate off to the northwest. The LLJ will pick up as well as 850 hPa winds also show a shift to the NW as the much talked about arctic air mass descends down from Canada. mid-Missouri will experience strong CAA until Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Temperatures are expected to bottom out at near record lows in the negative single digits. The strong winds associated with the descending vortex will are expected to make wind chills feel closer to -15 to -20 Tuesday night. Having trended higher for Wednesday, but will defer to later shifts to better narrow down the possibility for breaking record cold high temperatures.

 

Friday, January 25, 2019






  
Tonight - Cloudy. Low: 14-18.


Saturday -
Cloudy during the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Snow showers before noon. High: 30-34.



Saturday Night - Becoming cloudy overnight with flurries by dawn. Low: 24-28.



Sunday -
Cloudy with flurries in the morning. High: 38-42.


Monday - Cloudy and breezy. Rain in the early morning changing to a wintry mix by midday. High: 32-36. 
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
This weekend will mark an active weather period for Mid-Missouri with several small systems speeding through. Tonight will be cold and cloudy out ahead of our first system, but don't expect snow until daybreak Saturday. This snow will be light in intensity and short in duration, which may allow even some clearing by Saturday afternoon. Temperatures Saturday afternoon will be near this afternoon's mark. Cloudy skies will persist through the remainder of the period, with a brief shot at snow Sunday morning, and then another, more substantial chance of mixed precipitation Monday. Temperatures will push to near average Saturday before falling through the day Monday ahead of the next cold snap.

==================
Forecasters: Ritter, Munley, and Hirsch
Issued: 3:30 p.m., January 25, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
After a frigid night last night, temperatures have rebounded nicely to near freezing thanks to abundant sunshine throughout the day today, along with the passage of a weak warm front. However, if the sun makes any appearances this weekend, they will be short-lived, as an active weather pattern will impact the Mid-Mississippi Valley this weekend, bringing ample cloud cover and chances for brief, light precipitation. Our first chance of wintry precipitation currently resides near the Missouri-Iowa border. Per WPC analysis, a cold front and associated low pressure center were draped across this border. Satellite imagery shows this system is producing a fair swath of cloud cover from north-central Kansas to Chicago. As this system pushes South, GFS shows a small divergence maximum at 250 hPa developing over central Missouri early Saturday morning. Around the same time, it shows a 500 hPa vort max will develop over our area. Furthermore, the GFS suggests there will be plenty of moisture and sufficient lift at 700 hPa for precipitation to fall. The main question with Saturday's precipitation, though, is whether or not the lowest 100 hPa of the atmosphere will be moist enough to support it. GFS Skew-T's show a significant dry layer in place around dawn Saturday, moistening quickly around mid-morning before the upper levels dry out around lunchtime. If the GFS is to be believed, there would only be a small window of opportunity for any precipitation to occur. QPF from both the GFS and SREF are not very impressive either, showing less than 0.05 inches of liquid equivalent. As the system clears central Missouri Saturday afternoon, there will not be a powerful push of cold air. Instead, temperatures should hold steady near freezing, and there may be some clearing as moisture leaves the region. However, by Saturday night, the clouds return ahead of another system. again, per the GFS, there will be divergence at 250 hPa, a vort max at 500 hPa, and plenty of moisture at 700 hPa, but again, the lowest 100 hPa will be dry. QPF from GFS and SREF is even less Sunday therefore, have only mentioned flurries for Sunday morning. 

Sunday remains cloudy as 700 hPa moisture remains in place. As a high pressure center passes to the Northeast, flow should switch from northwesterly to southwesterly, leading to a period of WAA, and thus, temperatures will return to average on Sunday. However, the next outbreak of arctic air will plunge out of Canada and into the Midwest on Monday. Ahead of this, precipitation will develop as there will be divergence at 250 hPa and moisture and life at 700 hPa;. Temperatures will likely be above freezing at the onset of the precipitation, but as the system passes through, flow will switch from southwesterly to northwesterly, leading to CAA and falling temperatures. This means that, while precipitation will begin as rain on Monday, there will likely be a transition throughout the day to a wintry mix and perhaps all snow by evening. QPF from the GFS and SREF are a bit more impressive with this event, with around 0.10 inches expected across our area. Due to uncertainty regarding this event, there may be many changes made to the forecast by the Monday morning shift.

 

Thursday, January 24, 2019






Tonight - Mostly Clear. Low: 4-8

Friday-
Cloudy. Scattered afternoon and evening snow flurries. High: 26-30.

Friday night - Cloudy. Flurries before midnight. Low: 14-18.


Saturday-
Mostly Cloudy. High: 30-34. 


Sunday-
Mostly Cloudy. High: 32-36.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
If you haven't bundled up, be sure to as single digit temperatures are expected for tonight. Key take away...its gonna be cold tonight. Wind won't help either as wind chill factors will be in the negative single digits. Friday's high won't be any better than today's as another clipper moves through. However, unlike the one that moved through today, this one has some moisture to it so flurries are expected. The best time would be late afternoon Friday till about early Saturday morning. The biggest areas of snowfall will be along the Iowa/Illinois/Missouri border, far way from us. However, due to the moisture, flurries are not ruled out, however little to no accumulation is expected. The good news is that the weekend sees a warm up as we finally break the freezing mark for the weekend thanks to southerly winds and a high pressure to our north. The sun however will remain elusive so clouds remain.

==================
Forecasters: Hirsch
Issued: 3:30 p.m., January 23, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
An amplified H25 trough remains over the central CONUS which will allow for below normal cold temperatures to remain through the forecast. The GFS 12 Z run shows multiple shortwaves moving through COMO which will further work to reinforce the cold air. The current cold front moved through at 12 Z as indicated by KCOU wind shifts from the SW to the NW and CAA has limited highs for today. Overnight lows from 00 Z to 12 Z on the 25th were trended down further into the single degrees as a mostly cloudless night is expected due to lack of moisture behind the front. This coupled with N/NW winds will create wind chill temps in negative values. Another H85 shortwave is shown moving through around 18 Z tomorrow. This system however does have enough moisture to produce light flurries. Skew-Ts indicate deep layer moisture from 300-850 mb with 5 mb/s lift confined to from the surface to the cloud base at 850. This dry layer is a fair amount to overcome with dewpoint depression being about 5 C during a prime 6 hour window for snow (21-03 Z). By the time it fully saturates, at 00 Z on the 27th, upper level moisture has dissipated. In addition, the location of the H85 shortwave, over the IA/MO border, leaves us out of the area for accumulation. The presence of moisture and cold temperatures will allow for flurries to fall, but little to no accumulation is expected. QPF and SREF back this up as they indicate about 0.25" falling.

After the passage of the clipper on Friday night, a high pressure moves across the plains which will scoot along the northern MO border. This will leave us in southerly flow which will allow for the temperatures to break the freezing mark for the weekend. The position of the high will allow mid level-moisture to move in which keep the a mix of sun and clouds throughout the weekend.

Wednesday, January 23, 2019









Tonight - Partly Clear. Low: 20-24

Thursday- Partly Sunny. High: 26-30.

Thursday night - Partly Clear. Low: 6-10.


Friday- Cloudy. High: 28-32. 


Saturday- Cloudy. High: 30-34.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
The primary focus of this forecast is on the colder than normal temperatures associated with the multiple cold fronts moving through during the forecast period. The sun has finally returned but it won't feel like it as cold air keeps being reinforced by another cold front that pushes in midday on Thursday. This coupled with partly clear skies overnight will allow temperatures to bottom out into the single digits on Thursday night. Clouds build back on Friday ahead of a second cold front. This one brings some moisture with it and while models depict snow, the main areas of concern remain north of the Columbia area. Chances are low and little if any accumulation is expected at this point.

==================
Forecasters: Hirsch and Travis
Issued: 3:00 p.m., January 23, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
Visible satellite imagery shows the thick band of clouds associated with the maturing cyclone swiftly exiting to the east resulting in partial clearing of the sky. Mid-Missouri will remain underneath a longwave trough that will govern the region’s weather. GFS 500 hPa vorticity shows a shortwave entering the area 00 UTC Friday. GFS soundings observe little to no moisture or lift with this particular wave, so precipitation is not expected. The dominant longwave trough will keep the polar jet stream sitting off to our south. This will allow for extremely cold arctic air to creep down from Canada. With Thursday night being the first clear night after FROPA, temperatures are expected to bottom out then in the single digits. 850 hPa flow will continue to be out of the NW with the LLJ picking up Thursday evening over Missouri advecting the cold air into the region. Clouds return Friday, with GFS Skew-T’s showing a well saturated atmosphere above 500 hPa. Clouds persist for the remainder of the forecast period. Soundings show somewhat of a zipper going on through the day Friday, however precipitation is not likely for three reasons. 1. As the lower atmosphere moistens up the upper atmosphere starts to dry out by Friday evening. 2. GFS soundings show a significant dry later around 925 hPa. 3. Sounding data shows little to no omega values to support any precipitation. Saturday skew-ts continue to show a dry layer at the surface, but ice nucleation is possible so it could moisten up and allow for light snow to fall, but confidence is low at this point. However it bears watching as a shift in location of the low could impact amounts.

Tuesday, January 22, 2019







Tonight - Rain changing over to ice late. Low: 20-24




Wednesday - Decreasing clouds. High: 26-30.



Wednesday night - Partly cloudy. Low: 18-22.


 
Thursday - Partly sunny. High: 28-32.

 

Friday - Partly Sunny. High: 30-34.
 


Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!




Discussion: 
The main focus of the weather today is the approaching cold front and how it will impact us. For the rest of Tuesday afternoon, look for rain ahead of the cold front. Temperatues will remain above freezing until after midnight tonight. At this time, we will see a change over to light freezing precip which could cause hazards for morning traffic. Little to no accumulation is expected. After that, skies clear out and the sun finally returns but temperatures will still be below freezing. The coldest temperatues are likely for Thursday night as single digits possible. The remainder of the week remains dry.

==================
Forecasters: Hirsch
Issued: 3:00 p.m., January 22, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!) 
WPC today recommends a general model blend for the forecast, so went with the GFS as it goes out far enough to lack at the potential for weather this weekend that may be of interest. 

At the start of the forecast period, rain is falling just to the west of KCOU with overcast skies. Temperatures are currently above freezing to start, but that will change. The main focus on the forecast is the chance for freezing precip later tonight. A low sits in southwest MO which will propagate north and east over the next few hours. As it approaches, colder temperatues will start to occur. The greatest chance for ice will be after 06 UTC and persist till before 12 UTC. All 12 Z model runs of the GFS and NAM, along with the 19 Z HRRR and 15 Z SREF continue to paint this picture of ice. During this time as well, 850 mbs omega is maximized with values between 5-8 microbars/s. This is also occurring at the same time as the front is moving through the region. If the cold persist long enough, non-accumulating snow is possible. The limiting factor is the location of the low and the occurance of the dry slot after 12 Z as the cyclone continues to mature and moves off to the east. If this occurs late, snow is more likely, but have gone with a drier approach. The occurance of the dry slot allows for our atmosphere to finally dry out with decreasing clouds allowing for sun to shine in over 10 days. 

Thursday night will be the first clear night after FROPA so temperatures will bottom out. Single digits are possible so slick spots could occur on untreated roads. Evaporative moisture from melting snow will cause a mix of sun and clouds for the rest of the week. Temperatures rebound slightly on Friday, but another approaching system on Saturday bears montioring.