Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Tonight - Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the early evening. Low: 50-54.

Wednesday - Mostly sunny. High: 66-70.


Wednesday night -  Mainly clear.  Low:  43-47.


Thursday - Mostly sunny. High: 70-74.

 Friday - Mostly sunny.  High:  Near 75.

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The cold front is passing through tonight bringing colder temperatures compared to what we have recently seen. For Wednesday and Thursday the front pushes out of the area to the southeast and we can expect mostly sunny skies with cooler temperature in the upper 60's. Overnight Wednesday temperature will be in the middle to upper 40's.

Forecaster: Hefner, Rojas, Brown, and Hirsch
Issued: 4:35 p.m., September 25, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)
Frontal passage and the chance for convection are the main headlines of this forecast shift. Current regional radar imagery shows the well defined cold front currently pushing through the Kansas City metro area. Missouri Mesonet data is showing temperature drops on the order of 10-20 degrees with FROPA. Convection has struggled to initate across the area thus far this afternoon with only subtle forcing ahead of the front. Convection chances should end with the passage of the front.  Cold air advection will continue throughout the day Wednesday and Thursday and will lead to more near average high temperatures. The coldest night of the forecast period should be overnight Wendesday into Thursday, with temperatures dropping into the mid to upper 40s amid clearing skies and strong cold air advection. Uncertainty arrives on Friday in the form of the timing of another cold frontal passage. Models differ on timing, and will defer to later shifts in regards to impacts on the high temperature for the day as well as potential precipitation. 

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