Friday, September 28, 2018




Friday Night -  Mostly cloudy with light rain developing late.  Low:  48-52.


Saturday - Rain and drizzle ending by noon, otherwise mostly cloudy. High: 67-71.


Saturday Night - Partly cloudy.  Low: 54-58.


Sunday - Partly sunny. High: 78-82.

Monday - Mix of sun and clouds. High: near 82.
  
Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!

http://weather.missouri.edu/radar/BR.jpg 

Discussion:
It appears as though conditions through early Saturday afternoon will be mainly cloudy, with a chance of drizzle/light rain from roughly sunrise to lunchtime Saturday. Clearing and a resulting warm-up can be expected Saturday afternoon. Sky conditions will remain variably cloudy accompanied by seasonably warm temperatures through the remainder of the period.

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Forecaster:  Travis, Ritter, Johnston, Market, and Hirsch
Issued: 5:00 p.m., September 28, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)
At the start of the forecast period, the cold front has moved the area. This has put us into the cold sector for the night. Moisture behind the front continues to build in overnight as clouds develop. By 03 UTC, the column has become saturated from the surface to 3 km up. This coupled with vertical amount at this level gives confidence that there is chance for drizzle and light rain early Saturday morning. Not much liquid is expected to fall, just enough to lightly moisten the ground as models show 0.05" falling. Models depict rain ending by 18 UTC by clouds and low level moisture remains for the day. The cold front that moved through Friday night modifies and becomes a warm front that then pushes north through KCOU. Temperatures on Sunday will be above normal as upper 70s to the lower 80s look possible. This front remains well to our north into Monday as warmer temperature persist.