Thursday, October 25, 2018





Tonight-  Cloudy with drizzle beginning around midnight. Low: 44-48.



Friday-  Morning drizzle leaving cloudy skies after. High: 50-54.



Friday night- Clouds clearing out through night. Low: 40-44.


Saturday- Clear skies. High: 60-64.



Sunday- Partly Cloudy and breezy. High: 58-62.

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Discussion:
Thursday night is bringing a cold front along with drizzle beginning later in the night and ending Friday morning. Friday will have post cold front clouds linger through the day keeping temps 50-54. Friday night will clear out the clouds in the evening, opening up the skies once again to get temperatures 40-44. Saturday will be a continuation of clear skies, allowing the sun to warm us once again with temps 60-64. Sunday will bring partly cloudy skies in the morning to early afternoon with temps 58-62. Expect a breezy day as well!
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Forecaster:  Myers, Sumrall, Hirsch, and Market
Issued: 5:0p.m., October 25, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)

Seasonable air is settling into the mid-Missouri region as northwesterly flow becomes better established through the end of the weekend.  However, the weather will be unsettled, as a series of impulses will continue to deepen the broad, slow moving H5 S/W as it passes by. Latest output from the GFS, NAM, and FIM all support this premise.  Temperature choices are based upon SREF plumes and KCOU MOS messages, but the latter appeared to be trending too cold.  Minor surface moisture and precipitation seem to be warranted late tonight and into Friday, but seem less so as the weekend wears on.  The FIM and GFS show significant ridging aloft on Monday and Tuesday, so the start of the work week portends better weather.

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