Wednesday, October 3, 2018

Tonight-  Increasing cloud cover with a chance of shower and thunderstorms Low: 70-74.

Thursday - Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers throughout the day. High: 58-62.

 Thursday night - Becoming cloudy with showers developing overnight. Low: 56-60.

Friday - Spotty showers and mostly cloudy. High: 81-85.

 Saturday - Cloudy early with gradual clearing. High near 80.
Thanks to for the icons! 

As we head into Wednesday night cloud cover will be increasing as we anticipate a cold front to move through the area around 6 a.m. Thursday morning. Ahead of the cold front there will be a line of showers and thunderstorms that will help drop temperatures as we head into your Thursdsay morning commute. Temperatures will top out in the lower 60's for Thursday making for a cooler day compared to the beginning of the week. Chances of showers presist throughout the day although they will be decreasing into Thursday night. Friday will be warmer with chances of spotty showers and storms due to a warm front that will move through and hang around through Saturday. Expect Saturday morning to be cloudy but sky conditions will clear throughout the day with above average high temperatures.
Forecaster:  Azzara, Munley, Sumrall, Market, and Hirsch
Issued: 4:15 p.m., October 3, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)
Warm air advection is provided by a strong westerly wind, due to a low-level jet. Unseasonably high temperatures will be present throughout much of the day Wednesday. Increased heat and moisture in the atmosphere in combination with CAPE values around 2000 J/kg will provide a chance for thunderstorms overnight Wednesday ahead of the cold front that will be pushing through Thursday morning. With this passage of the front we will see a large decrease in temperature throughout Thursday as well as precipitation throughout Thursday and Friday. A warm front will move into the area behind the low pressure system and will hang around providing for most of the day Friday into Saturday. PWAT values increase Wednesday night to over 2in and reamin over 2in through Friday afternoon. This low pressure system provides ample moisture throughout all layers that will remain through Saturday. As the low pressure system moves out of the area Saturday we see the atmosphere become more stable and more seasonable conditions with mild temperatures and ample sunshine.   

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