Thursday, November 1, 2018

Tonight - Partly cloudy. Low 39-43

Friday - Mostly cloudy with sprinkles developing early afternoon. High: 52-56.

Friday Night - Sprinkles ending in the evening with clouds staying overnight. Low: 38-42.

Saturday - Partly cloudy with rain coming in Saturday night. High: 56-60.

Sunday - Cloudy with rain continuing through early afternoon. High: 54-58. 

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Discussion:Tonight will bring cloud cover that will keep temps around the same of what we've seen past few days. Cloud cover will stick around Friday with chances of sprinkles developing in the late afternoon. This precip will be minor and make its way out of the area late Friday evening. Clouds will stay overnight keeping conditions moist. Saturday will dry out compared to what we've seen in the past few days. However clouds will build back up later Saturday night and bring chances of rain overnight. Sunday will continue with the rain ending in the early afternoon

Forecaster: Myers, Doll, Market, Sumrall, and Hirsch
Issued: 5:00 p.m., October 31, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)
Tonight we will see a decrease in moisture when analyzing soundings. We went with the GFS over the Nam as we found the Nam is weaker in the depth of the troughs present and the surface low that exists over the Ohio Valley. Tomorrow we see the moisture building back in that brings chances of sprinkles Friday afternoon that will not linger very long. Saturday we see warm air advection brought up by southerly winds. This will help temperatures warm slightly more than the previous few days. A low pressure system will be coming through later Saturday night that brings a chance of rain. The winds with this system shift slightly from southerly to westerly indicating a weak cold front. Sunday morning ample amounts of upwards motion will prolong these showers into the early afternoon. As the low pressure system makes its way out of the area, we see a decrease in moisture. 

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