Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Tonight  - Cloudy, chance of snow. Low: 24-28.

Thursday - Morining clouds, clearing as day goes on. High: 38-42.

Thursday night - Clear. Low: 29-33.

Friday - Mostly Clear, clouds building overnight. High: 47-51.

Saturday -  Cloudy. High: 39-43.


Thanks to for the icons!


With Winter Storm Avery off to our southwest we will have a chance of snow showers tonight with a trace to a half inch of accumulation possible.  With the melting that occurred during the day, the chance of refreeze overnight Wednesday night is possible so be careful on sidewalks and roadways.  After tonight more pleasant skies and warmer temperatures return to mid-Missouri for Thursday and Friday.  Friday night into Saturday clouds return.  Saturday appears to be cloudy, the high temperature for the day will be in the late morning to early afternoon with a cold front sweeping through the area during the afternoon and progressively cooling off as the day goes on.  
Forecaster: Azzara, Munley, Sumrall, and Hirsch
Issued: 4:30 p.m., November 13, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)

Currently we are sitting in the middle of a saddle point which means that we have relatively clear conditions here in Mid-Mo. The clouds and precipitation are pushed southeast crowding a low in the bottom right quadrant of the saddle. The northwestern portion of the state is in a deformation zone, and with the low that is located there, there is a dry line associated with it preventing us from getting the needed moisture to produce much winter-like precipitation, unlike the southeastern portion of the state is going to experience later on this evening. We may see a few flurries or light snow overnight as the low to our southeast starts to move north but we will miss the bulk of the snow thanks to the dry line over to our west that is helping guide the precipitation away from the area. By tomorrow afternoon the high that was out to our southwest starts to makes its way into Missouri and will clear us out for the rest of the week as we hop on to a warming trend, reaching our weeks highest temperature in the upper 40's on Friday. Winds out of the southwest will aid warm air advection which will be responsible for the nice warming trend we experience. Sadly this will be short lived as Saturday we will see a cold front start to move through bringing clouds and moisture that will start to build up leading to possible precipitation Saturday into Sunday. Further monitoring will need to be done to determine if this precipitation will result in snow. As of right now it looks like there will be a change over from rain to snow Saturday afternoon. This is something that will be monitored closely over the next couple of forecast periods.

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