Thursday, November 15, 2018

Tonight  - Clear. Low: 28-32 .

Friday - Clear skies. High: 46-50.

Friday Night - Clear. Low: 32-36.

Saturday - Clouds developing throughout the day. High: 46-50.

Sunday -  Cloudy with light flurries. High: 34-38.


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Tonight, skies will clear out introducing the high pressure system sticking around for the next couple of days. Friday will warm us up keeping clear and calm conditions through the duration of the day. Friday night will remain clear keeping the temps warmer into Saturday morning. Later Saturday afternoon a cold front will come through bringing developing clouds. Temperatures will drop into Sunday where clouds will stick around bringing chances of light flurries with very little impact on road conditions.   
Forecaster: Doll, Myers, Sumrall, Market and Hirsch
Issued: 4:30 p.m., November 15, 2018

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)
As the low pressure system to our east continues to move out of the area we experience warmer and drier conditions. Southwesterly winds aid in warm air advection that is responsible for the more mild like temperatures we will experience Thursday and Friday. A high pressure system makes its way into the area on Friday maintaining calm conditions. As we move into Friday evening there is a substantial increase in moisture throughout all levels. This will lead to cloudy skies on Saturday. A cold front will move through mid-Missouri Saturday afternoon steadily dropping temperatures as we move throughout the day. Behind this cold front we see a moistening of the atmosphere, starting in the mid-levels and slowly eroding the dry layer by around midnight on Saturday. The models are in disagreement as to whether or not we will see any precipitation from this event. GFS has us receiving light snow accumulation throughout the day Sunday, while NAM does not expect any precipitation.

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