Thursday, January 26, 2023

 




Thursday Night:
Increasing Clouds. Low: 23
 
 

 
Friday: Mostly Sunny with Increasing Clouds by Afternoon. High: 46

 

 
 
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy. Low 32
  
 

 
 
Saturday: Mostly Cloudy. High 50
 
 


Saturday Night:
Becoming Overcast with Slight Chance of Rain. Low: 24

 

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Discussion: 

Temperatures warming up above average for the weekend! Winds will be following right behind the warmer air, so it may be a bit breezy at times. By Saturday as we roll into the overnight hours our next cold front makes an appearance bringing with it a chance of some lighter precipitation. This also cools us down back to average.

-Labit

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Forecasters: Labit, Macko, Easter

Date Issued: 1/26/2023 5:00 PM CDT

Technical Discussion: 
 

The GFS and NAM were in agreeance until uncertainty began late Saturday with both mid/upper-level moisture not being as prominant in the NAM. Both models were used, but with WAA throughout Friday into Saturday this better supports the idea of moisture in the area. With precipitation becoming increasingly likely through late Saturday night we agreed more with the GFS.

 

The upper-level jet is spaced just southeast of Central Missouri for Thursday evening, but by Friday morning the jet will shift further over the Midwest with no signs of moving through the remainder of the weekend. This combined with sparce areas of divergence aloft, moderate vorticity, and upper-level moisture this could result in some upper-level clouds developing into Friday. Surface analysis suggests a sharp shift in wind direction, changing from a more westerly flow to a primarily southernly flow, late Thursday night into Friday morning. Temperatures will warm to above average because of this shift. As warmer air flows more north, surface winds will strengthen bringing consistetly breezy conditions throughout Friday. Conditions for cloud development also hold together through Friday afternoon with WAA and mid/upper-level moisture present. More low level moisture builds in from the south as well as vertical forcing as we move into Saturday evening suggesting mostly cloudy conditions by late Saturday afternoon. As this moisture builds from the south a high-

pressure system will drive a cold front from the Dakotas SE into Missouri through the overnight hours into early Sunday morning bring with it a slight chance of rain and greatly reducing temperatures by Sunday.

 

-Labit

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