Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Wednesday Night - Partly Cloudy. Low: 56-60

Thursday - Partly Cloudy. High: 84-88

Thursday Night - Partly Cloudy. Low: 66-70

Friday - Mostly Clear. High: 86-90

Saturday - Cloudy. High: 78-82

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The latter half of the week will bring increasing temperatures, to near normal levels for early September.  A few clouds should hang around most of the day through Thursday, but no rain is expected.  We will see a general warming trend through Friday, due to warm air being pulled up from the Gulf.  This air will also be fairly humid.  Saturday we will see the return of clouds, and lowering temperatures once again. 
Forecasters: Heaven, Lieberman
Issued:  4:30 p.m. ; September 4, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)

Current WPC Diagnostics recommend general model blend, and as such we will be using primarily the GFS.  Wednesday begins with winds out of the north, with CAA over the area keeping our temps cooler than yesterday.  With the expected low cloud cover tonight and continuing CAA, temperatures tonight will drop to a rather cool upper 50s.  Thursday will see the return of WAA out of the Gulf after warm frontal passage.  This warm front is attached to a surface low centered in Minnesota.  The passage of the warm front will set us into a warming trend through the day Friday.  This passage will not be associated with any precipitation.  Thursday night will see much higher temperatures than Wednesday night due to this WAA.  Friday will see the passage of a rather weak cold front attached to the surface low of the previous warm front.  GFS surface temperature analysis indicates minimal temperature loss during the day on Friday, with no chance of precipitation.  This cold front will not have enough moisture for any precipitation, given that PWAT values off the GFS indicate values around 1.2 inches.  Saturday will see the return of clouds, and with it temperatures will remain fairly low.

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