Wednesday, February 10, 2021



Wednesday Night - Overcast with flurries and light snow showers. Low: 10-14. 

Thursday - Overcast. Occasional snow flurries possible. High: 16-20.

Thursday Night - Overcast. A small chance for snow showers. Low: 4-8. 

Friday - Overcast. A slight chance of snow, especially late. High: 12-16. 

Saturday -
Overcast. Snow possible early. Very cold. High: 6-10.
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The broken record continues. We're looking at several more days of cold weather, with clouds and off/on snow chances into the weekend. Snow flurries and light snow showers are possible tonight as lows fall into the lower 10s. Any accumulations will be minor. For Thursday, another cold and cloudy day is on tap, although our chances for snow will be smaller (but still not zero). As we look towards Friday and Saturday, all attention turns to a reinforcing push of cold arctic air. Yes, we have not bottomed out yet in terms of temperatures. Snow is possible Friday night into Saturday as the colder air streams in, and temperatures this weekend will be dangerously cold. Lows Saturday night may drop well below zero, and plan on sub-zero wind chills throughout the weekend.

Forecaster: Vanderpool
Issued: 5:00 PM CST 10 February 2021
Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class)
Thursday, more clouds and cold weather are anticipated, with model soundings remaining saturated near 925-mb and the 12 UTC GEFS indicating a 100% probability of sky cover > 90%. A jet streak at 250-mb will be passing by to the northeast (indicating divergence aloft) but short-range models aren't too keen on producing snow, courtesy of a lack of lift in the column. Still, given plentiful moisture and the aforementioned longwave propagating eastward (but weakening before reaching the Midwest), snow flurries and showers cannot be ruled out for Thursday. The GEFS is the most bullish with this, with mean snow accumulations of ~0.5". Highs should reach the middle 10s.

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