Monday Night - Cloudy. Low: 40-44
Tuesday - Sunny. High: 56-60
Tuesday Night- Clear. Low: 36-40
Wednesday - Sunny, becoming cloudy late. High: 62-66
Thursday - Cloudy with rain. High: 58-62
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Discussion:
Today, we had broken clouds up until midday, when clouds set in. This will bring slightly warmer temperatures tonight and tomorrow. However, the cloud blanket will move out to our east Tuesday, and we should have lots of sunshine and highs in the upper 50's. Clear skies will remain until Wednesday, until a cold front is expected to pass through Thursday - bringing clouds and rain.
Today, we had broken clouds up until midday, when clouds set in. This will bring slightly warmer temperatures tonight and tomorrow. However, the cloud blanket will move out to our east Tuesday, and we should have lots of sunshine and highs in the upper 50's. Clear skies will remain until Wednesday, until a cold front is expected to pass through Thursday - bringing clouds and rain.
Forecasters: Hatch, Heaven, Travis, Munley
Issued: 5:00pm. November 18, 2019
Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class)
The GFS was primarily utilized for this forecast along with SREF and SHARPpy. Today, a warm from was expected to move across the state of Missouri, however it seems to have stalled over Kansas City; letting the cold front catch up with it. WPC predicts that this will cause an occluded front to be positioned over Mid-Missouri 06Z Tuesday. By 12Z Tuesday, it is expected to move out to our east.
This morning, Columbia saw partly cloudy skies which transitioned into cloudy skies as moisture associated from the warm front to our west set in. It is expected to remain cloudy tonight, which will contribute to warmer low temperatures in the 40's. There is quite a large dry layer on the soundings for tonight, so if any precipitation were to occur, it would evaporate before reaching the ground.
Sunny skies will return Tuesday through Wednesday as the fronts will be out of the area, and temperatures will be warmer than average for this time of year. Soundings indicate little to no moisture Tuesday and Wednesday. There will be minimal advection with lines of 1000-500 mb thickness parallel to MSLP.
On Wednesday night, Missouri will see increasing cloud cover as the night progresses, and Thursday soundings indicate clouds and rain throughout the day.
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