Friday, November 15, 2019

Friday - Mostly clear. High: 44-48

Friday Night - Clouds build overnight. Low: 26-30

Saturday - Partly cloudy in the am with clouds clearing in the afternoon. High: 46-50

Saturday Night - Clouds build in overnight. Low: 30-34

Sunday - Overcast with showers in the late morningHigh: 46-50

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A high pressure system will dominate the area most of the weekend. This will give us clear skies with more seasonal type temperatures. Saturday will be the day to get outdoors and enjoy since there will be warmer temperatures and plenty of sunshine. On Sunday clouds move in keeping us slightly cooler. There is a chance for light showers late morning.
Forecasters: Est, Taylor, Sumrall
Issued:  10:00am. November 15, 2019

Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class)

A high pressure system will remain in place over the area for the next two days. Because of this, Friday will clear and we will start a warming trend. The 21Z GFS sounding shows that overnight Friday we see an increase in moisture in the upper level . This leads to mid to upper level clouds. We see this moisture decrease in late morning on Saturday which will allow for the clearing skies on Saturday.   

An upper level trough moves through the area Sunday. Associated with this upper level trough is an increase in moisture that will lead to overcast skies and a windshift from south to northwest. This windshift, in addition to the cloud cover, will keep us slightly cooler. Skew-T's show saturation for a brief period in the morning. In  addition to this saturation we also see an increase in vorticity  at the 500mb level on the GFS ran model. Therefore, there is a possibility for light showers. At this time confidence is high that there will be rain showers instead of sleet or freezing rain due to the warmer temperatures.

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