Thursday, March 24, 2022

 

Current Conditions at Sanborn Field





Thursday Night:
Overcast with drizzle, clearing through the night. Low: 36




Friday:
Clear sky in the afternoon. High: 58




Friday Night:
Moonlit night. Low: 35




Saturday:
Sunny. High: 52




Saturday Night:
Partly cloudy. Low: 30

 

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Discussion:

With spring having arrived earlier this week, seasonal temperatures are in store for mid-Missouri as we head into the weekend. As the rain finally meanders off to our east tonight, a cold front will travel with it, bringing our winds predominantly out of the north. This will cool off our temperatures even more, bringing us below freezing Saturday night. Luckily, as the rain travels out tonight, our sky will also begin to clear and solar heating will help to stave off much colder temperatures during the day. Given the ever decreasing drizzle from this lingering storm, there is no anticipated precipitation for this forecast period.

- Noblitt

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Forecasters: Noblitt, Splater, Vochatzer

Date Issued: 3/24/2022 5:00PM CDT


Technical Discussion: 
 

The GFS20 was utilized for this forecast as it had the best handle on current features and temperatures. Additional guidance from the NBM and RAP were used for temperature and precipitation forecasting. 


Soggy conditions will finally come to an end this evening as a lobe of vorticity will move southwest out of the area. Lack of lift and departing moisture will only support light showers before midnight, and cloud cover will exit in the early morning hours tomorrow.


Surface winds will then back out of the west leading up to noon on Friday in response to an incoming shortwave. This will bring seasonable conditions back to Mid-MO briefly, with northerly winds returning late in the day. Precipitation is unlikely, though some clouds will be possible due to lingering moisture.


A persistent northerly flow regime will work to keep the region below average nearly all weekend, with a possible freeze by Sunday morning. Winds will steadily begin to veer out of the south by early Monday, a precursor to more warming conditions early next week.

 
- Splater

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