Current Conditions at Sanborn Field

 

Thursday Night: Clear. Low: 17

 

Friday: Mostly sunny. High: 30

 

Friday Night:  Clear. Low: 25

 

 

Saturday: Sunny. High: 51

 

 

 
 

Saturday Night: Clear. Low: 36

 

Thanks to IconArchive.com for the icons!

====================================================================

Discussion:

Happy Groundhog's Day! A cold front will be cooling our temperatures for tomorrow, but no need to fear, high pressure is near. Temperatures will warm up, reaching fifty one degrees by Saturday.

-Easter

 =================================================================

Forecasters: Macko, Easter, and Labit

Date Issued: 2/2/2023 5:30 PM CST

Technical Discussion:

    GFS20 and the NAM12 were used in the making of this forecast. Both models handled the timing and the placement of frontal systems and shortwaves relatively similarly. Besides the difference in the strength of the shortwave and frontal system by the NAM12, both models are in agreement.The main focus of the forecast will be on the cold front that is cooling off our temperatures tonight and the shift in the wind due to high pressure moving in that will warm us up into the fifties for a high on Saturday.

    A cold front is currently making its way across Missouri, exiting out of the region by this afternoon/evening. Despite there being decent amounts of vorticity in the area there is no moisture present in any of the levels to support any kind of cloud cover or precipitation. With the passage of the cold front temperatures will drop into the upper teens tonight but will warm back up into the thirties by Friday. Temperatures will keep warming as high pressure moves in. The wind will shift from north to south as high pressure moves in. The wind out of the south will keep temperatures warm reaching fifty one by Saturday. 

    By 00Z on Friday we will have another shortwave trough moving into Columbia with a similar set up. Despite the NAM and the GFS' disagreement with the strength of the shortwave, both models are in agreement of the timing and placement of the shortwave. Similar to tonight's cold front, moisture is not present in the region at any levels during this period leaving the area dry. The shortwave quickly exits the region by 03Z. The area remains quiet and clear until Sunday at 00Z. 

    The next forecasting shift may want to take note of another cold front that works its way into the region late Saturday night into early Sunday morning.

-Easter