Thursday - AM Snow. Cloudy, with skies clearing after the snow. High: 37-41
Thursday Night - Clear. Low: 25-29
Friday - Sunny and warmer. High: 51-55
Saturday - Sunny. High: 42-46
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Discussion:
Wednesday night, rain will change over to snow with a low from the high 20s to low 30s. Snow will taper off early Thursday morning with skies clearing in the afternoon, high in the upper 30s. Thursday night will be clear and will cause colder temperatures, in the mid to high 20s. Friday will be sunny and warmer due to winds out of the south, high in the low to mid 50s. Saturday will be slightly cooler with sunny skies, high in the mid 40s.
Wednesday night, rain will change over to snow with a low from the high 20s to low 30s. Snow will taper off early Thursday morning with skies clearing in the afternoon, high in the upper 30s. Thursday night will be clear and will cause colder temperatures, in the mid to high 20s. Friday will be sunny and warmer due to winds out of the south, high in the low to mid 50s. Saturday will be slightly cooler with sunny skies, high in the mid 40s.
Forecasters: Heaven, Abruzzo, Dowell
Issued: 5:00 pm; October 30, 2019
Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class!)
WPC prefers the GFS model, so we used that along with SREF plumes for temperature forecasting.
Analysis of the nonogram shows that today's precipitation should have been freezing rain. While we did see rain, warm surface and soil temperatures prevented this from occurring. Partial thicknesses at the 1000-850 and the 850-700 millibar levels show that rain will transition to snow overnight, mainly after midnight. Snow should taper off early Thursday morning, and model soundings show a widening between temperature and dew point in the column, indicating clearing skies that should remain for the rest of the week. Clear skies Thursday night will cause temperatures to dip to their lowest point this week. However, a surface low located over the Southern Plains will bring WAA to the area on Friday. This, combined with sunny skies will cause temperatures to rise significantly. Friday night, cold frontal passage will begin over the area, causing temperatures to drop, but sunny skies during the day will help mitigate the drop in temperature. No precipitation is expected during the cold frontal passage.
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