Thursday, October 29, 2020

 Current Conditions at Sanborn Field         

 

       


 Thursday - Overcast and rainy.  Clearing by the afternoon to clear skies.  High: 48 - 52                


T
hursday Night -
Clear overnight. Low: 30 - 34
                
 

F
riday -
Sunny and calm. High: 52 - 56

 

Friday Night - 
Clear and calm. Low: 38 - 42

                 

Saturday -
Sunny and calm. High: 58 - 62
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Discussion: 
 
    Clearing conditions are on the way for Mid-MO. After the wrap up of some morning showers and generally 
rainy conditions, the skies will part and allow for sunny skies Thursday afternoon. While humidity levels will
remain high due to an injection of Gulf moisture from Hurricane Zeta, there are no expected impacts from the remnants
of the storm.
    Relatively pleasant conditions will be around in the area Friday, as calm winds and clear skies are the main
 features of the day. Temperatures will continue on their upward trend as we may push into the upper 50s. Overnight 
Friday will continue to see fair skies with temperatures in the upper 30s possible.
    Saturday will see the continuation of clear skies as the Tigers face off against the Florida Gators. With temperatures
in the low 60s, it will be a nice day to put final touches on any Halloween decorations. Though pleasant conditions
 will be here most of the day, rain can be expected during the overnight hours, which could affect the end of any
 Halloween festivities.
 

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Forecaster: Sumrall, Ede, Gasch
Issued:  10AM CDT 29 October 2020
 
Technical Discussion (The nerdy stuff we are discussing in class)
 
A blend of the RAP, GFS and SREF and GEFS plumes were used for the forecast today. The main focus for this period will be the warmer, drier conditions that will be present to kick off the weekend.  

An upper level low southwest of Missouri will move out of the area by the afternoon. Showers will taper off around this time as dry air behind the cold front settles into place. The upper level jet that is associated with this low moves off to the east, leaving mostly zonal flow behind. Skies clearing overnight will allow for some radiational cooling, with lows near 30. 
 
A warming trend will begin starting Friday. Winds shift to out of the south, providing for warm air advection that will help temperatures return to more seasonal. Decreased values of RH will be responsible for the ample sunshine Mid-Missouri will experience. 

Warm and Sunny remains the theme for much of the day Saturday. Southerly winds will increase in speed up to 15 kts. This will help temperatures to climb to near 60 for Halloween Day. These pleasant conditions will be short-lived however as the next low pressure system is set to move into the area Saturday night, bringing with it the chance for precipitation and cooler temperatures once again.

 

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